¿El futuro 2050 y la Economía Mundial?
El estudio de proyección bancaria del Informe de la Banca del organismo financiero PWC, predice que “los bancos de los países emergentes habrán superado en el 2036 a los que hoy están en el G7 y que para el 2050 los habrán superado ampliamente” siendo nuevas potencias económicas.
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| Aumento de la Población mundial. Su distribución. |
VER EL INFORME PWC:
¿Qué retos económicos hay hasta el 2050?
· Envejecimiento de la población.
· Globalización tecnológica y avances de esas tecnologías.
· Incremento del consumo de los recursos.
· Más efectos del cambio climático.
· Una progresiva transición hacia la economía en carbonos.
·Nuevas iniciativas legales a niveles nacionales e internacionales que afectarán al sector Industrial.
Países no desarrollados aumento en el PIB o PPP (en inglés).
Países del G-7 por orden de importancia económica usando el método de cálculo el PIBo PPP en inglés; esta siglas significan que se utiliza una medida de macroeconomía, el PIB o producto interno bruto que expresa el valor monetario de la producción de bienes y servicios durante más o menos un año.
Países del G-7 HOY.
1 –US 15,094
2- China 7,298
3 – Japan 5,867
4 – Germany 3,571
5 – France 2,773
6- Brazi 2,477
7 – UK 2,432
Países del G-7 FUTURO 2050:
1- China 48,477
2- US 37,998
3- India 26,895
4- Brazil 8,950
5 – Japan 8,065
6- Russia 7,115
7- Mexico 6,706
¿Esto qué quiere decir? Que, por ejemplo, la banca China alcanzaría a la EEUU en 2025 y que para el 2036 la habrá superado de forma muy amplia, siendo una potencia económica mundial en el 2050.
Comenzando en 1985 al 2050, el aumento total de la población superará los 3.600 millones de seres humanos. Éste aumento será generado en un 95% por los países que hoy están en pleno desarrollo.
Informe de la ONU estima que población mundial llegará a los 9.600 millones en 2050.
Según apreciaciones de la ONU, en 15 años más la India desplazará a China como el país más poblado del planeta. La ONU informa que en las zonas más desarrolladas de hoy se permanecerá sin grandes cambios en su demografía llegando al 2050 con un aumento leve; mientras que en los países menos desarrollados del mundo la población se duplicará hasta llegar a 1.800 millones de personas.
La población de Europa descenderá en torno a un 14% llegando al año 2050. Motivos:
- Poblaciones más viejas. Incremento del promedio de vida. La población de más 65 años aumentará exponencialmente.
- Vivirán más en áreas urbanas que rurales. Las ciudades más colapsadas.
- La inmigración aumentará más.
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- ¿Qué pasará en el planeta Tierra con tantos habitantes?
- ¿La nueva distribución económica qué políticas generará?
- ¿Qué porvenir tiene el sistema ecológico mundial?
- ¿Qué retos nos plantea estos cambios?
- ¿Las nuevas tecnologías y sus desarrollos ayudarán a la población mundial o la destruirá?
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